Analyst Warns Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Run May End by October 2025
Rekt Capital, a crypto analyst, believes that while there is much chatter about the Bitcoin cycle stretching until 2026, traders should not “throw away time-tested principles.”
A cryptocurrency analyst warns that Bitcoin’s price rise cycle may be limited to a few months, especially if it follows the same historical trend as in 2020.
“We have a tiny sliver of time and price expansion left,” crypto analyst Rekt Capital said in a video on Thursday, referring to how the Bitcoin (BTC) $109,031 rally played out five years ago.
The BTC bull market may fade out after October
Rekt noted that if the Bitcoin cycle repeats the 2020 trend, the market would most likely top in October, 550 days after the Bitcoin halving in April 2024.
“That’s already two to three months potentially that we have left in this bull market,” Rekt estimated.
Rekt recognised that many market participants have overlooked the halving cycle, predicting a “cycle extension” that may stretch until 2026.
Many are quick to abandon time-tested principles, but it’s crucial to rely on proven metrics, as they provide stability and help avoid the emotional swings that come with discarding everything,” Rekt emphasised. He further noted that if Bitcoin follows a similar pattern to the 2020 cycle, the market could peak in October—approximately 550 days after the April 2024 halving. ‘That means we may have just two to three months left in this bull market,’ Rekt estimated.
Rekt recognised that many market participants have overlooked the halving cycle, predicting a “cycle extension” that may stretch until 2026.
Many are quick to discard time-tested principles, but it’s crucial to rely on proven metrics, as they offer more stability and clarity than chasing uncertain new narratives.”
Rekt Capital says chasing new Bitcoin (BTC) metrics is “an emotional thing.”
Rekt stated that looking at new measures is an impulsive reaction. “It’s an emotional thing as well, and you don’t want emotional things clouding your judgement,” according to him.
However, numerous crypto specialists feel the normal Bitcoin halving cycle is less trustworthy now, because to the increase in institutional adoption of Bitcoin, which was not present in earlier cycles.
On Thursday, Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated that due to rising investor inflows, Bitcoin might break away from its historical trend of declining in value 18 months after a halving event.”
In May, Standard Chartered anticipated that Bitcoin would hit $200,000 by the end of the year, a forecast shared by asset management firm Bernstein.